ISSN 1999-6942

Scientific-economic journal

PROBLEMS OF ECONOMICS

AND MANAGEMENT OF OIL AND GAS COMPLEX

February 2016                                         ¹ 2                                       12 issues per year

 

CONTENÒS

 

ECONOMICS

 

Goryacheva A.O., Milovidov K.N. Analysis of the prospects of unconventional oil production (p. 5-12)

 

ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT

 

Eryomina I.Yu., Toderash V.A. Career management in Russia and abroad (p. 12-15)

 

Tchumlyakov K.S., Tchumlyakova D.V. Development of transport infrastructure and communications of electricity in inter-connectivity mutual conditions (p. 16-22)

 

Makarov Yu.O. Development of organizational and economic regulation of using small oil fields (p. 22-27)

 

ECONOMIC-MATHEMATICAL MODELING

 

Korotin V.Yu., Islamov R.T. Models uncertainty analysis: methods and approaches (p. 27-39)

 

Tchulkov D.N. An algorithm of regulation procedure formation to solve non-standard problems (p. 39-47)

 

WORLD OIL AND GAS BUSINESS

 

Jen Chiachia. Financing of the coal liquefaction project at Yushen field (p. 47-54)

 

Information on the articles (p. 55-58)

 

 

Information on the articles

 

UDC 622.276

 

ANALYSIS OF THE PROSPECTS

OF UNCONVENTIONAL OIL PRODUCTION (ð. 5)

 

Anastasia Olegovna Goryacheva,

Konstantin Nikolaevich Milovidov

 

I. Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas

65, bld.1, Leninsky prosp., 119991, Moscow, Russian Federation,

phone: 8 (499) 507-80-52,

e-mail: aogoryacheva@ya.ru, milovidov_kn@mail.ru

 

With account of the undeniable importance of the oil segment for our country, it seems advisable to conduct timely analysis of the factors that can influence the changes in supply and demand balance in the medium term. The rapidly changing situation brings new challenges and opportunities that require an appropriate investigation.

The purpose of this article is to examine the potential of unconventional oil production. In particular, it analyzes the dynamics of actual production and prospects, considers the reserves, prices of breakeven production, EROI and forecasts of the world's leading agencies in terms of production of different types of unconventional oil. The ultimate goal of the work is to identify the resource that can make the greatest contribution to the growth of global oil production, thus bringing adjustments in the global flows of liquid fuel.

 

Key words: unconventional oil; light crude oil of solid rock; supply and demand balance; break-even prices; EROI; comparison of forecasts in terms of production of different types of unconventional oil.

 

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UDC 658.3

 

CAREER MANAGEMENT IN RUSSIA AND ABROAD (ð. 12)

 

Irina Yurievna Eryomina,

Viktoria Alexandrovna Toderash

 

I. Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas

65, Leninsky prosp., 119991, Moscow, Russian Federation,

phone: 8 (499) 135-75-66,

e-mail: irinargung@mail.ru, viktoriya-toderash@mail.ru

 

The article characterizes the meaning and the essence of such relatively new field of human resources (HR) management as career control rapidly developing in conditions of requirements of the post-industrial information society. The factors that shape the understanding of the relevance of career management in modern conditions are characterized as well; some specific features of basic career strategies, inherent in the US and Japan, are also mentioned; the current situation of career management in Russia is determined.

 

Key words: career; HR management; talent management; career development; professional development; person-professional growth; individual career plan; competence.

 

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UDC 656.02:339

 

DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE AND COMMUNICATIONS

OF ELECTRICITY IN INTER-CONNECTIVITY MUTUAL CONDITIONS (ð. 16)

 

Kirill Stanislavovich Tchumlyakov

 

Tyumen State University

10, Semakova str., 625003, Tyumen, Russian Federation,

phone: 8 (3452) 29-76-41,

e-mail: k8sc@yandex.ru

 

Daria Vladimirovna Tchumlyakova

 

Tyumen State Oil and Gas University

38, Volodarsky str., 625000, Tyumen, Russian Federation,

e-mail: k8sc@yandex.ru

 

The article is devoted to the problem of integrated development of infrastructural framework of the Western Siberian macro-region in the context of Russia globalization. This region belongs to the regions with a high concentration of fuel-energy, mineral-raw and other natural resources. The region is located at the intersection of railway lines of international importance, the large Siberian rivers in the vicinity of the industrialized Urals. Special attention is required by the coordinated formation of electric power regional communications to support the development of transport infrastructure. This article gives an analysis of the production characteristics of the macro-region energy system, discusses the development directions of the traditional electric power industry. As the electric power in the Western Siberia is developed based on gas and coal resources, the largest thermal power plants are located in Surgut, Urengoy and Kuznetsk coal basin. One of the vectors of macro-region power systems is elimination of the infrastructure limitations of economic development. A scheme of formation of some interconnected integrated system of development of transport infrastructure and electric power communications is presented.

 

Key words: electric power industry; infrastructure; strategy; power supply; development prospects; the Western Siberia.

 

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UDC 622.276

 

DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZATIONAL AND ECONOMIC REGULATION

OF USING SMALL OIL FIELDS (ð. 22)

 

Yuriy Olegovich Makarov

 

Tyumen State Oil and Gas University (TSOGU)

38, 50 let Oktyabrya str., 625000, Tyumen, Russian Federation,

e-mail: makarov_yuriy@mail.ru

 

The article discusses the operating principles of the licensing and taxation system of in the oil industry and formulates some proposals for differentiation of approaches to organizational and economic regulation of small oil fields development.

 

Key words: oil producing industry; small oil fields; organizational and economic regulation; system of licensing and taxation; one-time payment for subsoil assets use.

 

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UDC [622.32+622.24]:658.152

 

MODELS UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS:

METHODS AND APPROACHES (ð. 27)

 

Vladimir Yurievich Korotin

 

JSC NK "RussNeft"

69, Pyatnitskaya str., 115054, Moscow, Russian Federation,

phone: 8(495) 411-63-09,

e-mail: korotinvy@russneft.ru

 

Rustam Talgatovich Islamov

 

ANO "International Nuclear Safety Center of the Russian Ministry of Nuclear Energy"

2/8, Malaya Krasnoselskaya str., 107040, Moscow, Russian Federation,

phone: 8 (499) 263-13-90,

e-mail: rustam.t.islamov@gmail.com

 

The purpose of this paper is to present a review of the existing literature of uncertainty models analysis, including the survey of oil and gas business literature.

The main objective is to summarize the existing approaches and to propose classification of uncertainty analysis classification. Besides, the importance of the uncertainty analysis when planning an oil company activity is presented.

 

Key words: risk management; uncertainty analysis; stochastic models; literature review.

 

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UDC 658.516

 

AN ALGORITHM OF REGULATION PROCEDURE FORMATION

TO SOLVE NON-STANDARD PROBLEMS (ð. 39)

 

Denis Nikolaevich Chulkov

 

G.V. Plekhanov Russian Economic University

36, Stremyanny pereulok, 117997, Moscow, Russian Federation,

e-mail: fordovod@mail.ru

 

The present paper suggests an algorithm of a regulation procedure formation to be used for non-standard problems salvation. It is demonstrated that the regulation procedure implementation is one of possible tools for non-standard problems salvation, that’s why its use should be substantiated by means of specially developed methodical instruments It is shown that the procedure of regulation should include routine and non-standard components. Main stages of the algorithm are described. Main problems that can appear during the regulation implementation are analyzed. It is demonstrated that the implementation of this regulation procedure should be supported by some specially developed measures.

 

Key words: regulation procedure; business process; non-standard problem.

 

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UDC 65.305.143

 

FINANCING OF THE COAL LIQUEFACTION PROJECT

AT YUSHEN FIELD (ð. 47)

 

Jen Chiachia

 

I. Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas

65, bld.1, Leninsky prosp., 119991, Moscow, Russian Federation,

e-mail: 892253298702@mail.ru

 

Coal liquefaction development is an important step towards the resolution of conflicts between oil supply and oil demand in the XXst century. Project of coal liquefaction of Yusheng field is the largest chemical base project, which is being implemented within the framework of the western regions development.

Inductive method application allowed analyzing every factor that affects the development of the plan of financing the project of Yusheng deposit coal liquefaction, including specific features of the project, the state investment policy and financing policy, the situation of the project financing, affordable financing channels, methods of financing, etc.

The conducted studies show that the most important factor affecting the development of the project’s financing plan is the choice of the financing method. Application of quantitative and qualitative methods of the analysis allowed determining four suitable methods for financing of the project: a loan lease financing, corporate financing, investors’ direct financing, ABS financing. To reveal the best method of financing, sorting, based on such characteristics as effectiveness, efficiency and disadvantages was made.

Based on the analysis results and the evaluation of project financing methods, financing plans were studied and developed, which resulted in application of the principle of the least complex cost of the capital to optimize the financing plan of the project. This study is an innovative introduction and improvement of the traditional financial theory, which offered theoretical basis for financing of the project for coal liquefaction of Yusheng deposits as well as presents scientific-rational implementation plan for similar financing projects, applicable both in theory and in practice to improve efficiency.

 

Key words: financing of a project; China; investment policy; project financing channels in China; evaluation of an investment project; the best projects; method of project financing.

 

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