ISSN 1999-6942 Scientific-economic journal AND MANAGEMENT OF OIL AND GAS COMPLEX January 2021 № 1(193) 12 issues per year
CONTENТS |
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THE CHIEF EDITOR`S COLUMN |
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ECONOMICS |
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Morozov V.V. Some features of the "Russian model of the resource curse" (p. 13‑17) |
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ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT |
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Idigova L.M., Rakhimova B.H. Topical issues of digital transformation of the oil and gas industry (p. 18‑21) |
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WORLD OIL AND GAS BUSINESS |
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Dmitriev A.S., Knippel A.S. What will the future hold for Russian oil producers in the world market? (p. 56‑61) |
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Devlikamova G.V. The structure of relations in the oil and gas alliances of Russia and Venezuela (p. 62‑68) |
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Information on the articles |
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UDC 553.04 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-5-6
HOW MUCH
DO THE PREVIOUS YEAR FORECASTS
Alexey Mikhaylovich Mastepanov, Dr. of Economic Sci., Professor of National University of Oil and Gas "Gubkin University", Member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, Head of the Analytical Center of the energy policy and energy security of OGRI RAS, Member of the Board of Directors of the Institute for Energy Strategy
Oil and Gas Research Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences (OGRI RAS) 3, Gubkin str., Moscow, 119333, Russian Federation, e-mail: amastepanov@mail.ru
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UDC 339.9 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-7-12
SOME FEATURES OF THE
TERMINAL MARKET FORMATION
Pavel Borisovich Katyukha, Cand. of economic sci., associate professor, the Department of Economics of Organization
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation 51, bld. 1, Leningradsky prosp., Moscow, 125993, Russian Federation, e-mail: PBKatyukha@fa.ru
The paper goes on with a series of the author’s articles, published in this Journal, devoted to the development of exchange and over-the-counter trading in Russia and, in particular, to the peculiarities of the terminal market development at the St. Petersburg International Mercantile Exchange (SPIMEX), which is one of the largest commodity exchanges in Russia. The paper considers the evolution of the terminal market formation at SPIMEX, the relationship of the terminal market with the spot market as the main condition for the exchange trading development, the main participants and market development trends. The main attention in this paper is focused on the problems of the terminal market development at the SPIMEX exchange floor and the development of new exchange instruments and indices for the main line of oil and oil products. In the context of the development of the SPIMEX terminal market, the urgent need to form Russian reference (marker) grade of oil is shown to determine a transparent and objective price for Russian oil.
Keywords: exchange; derivative; term market; futures; forwards; over-the-counter market; commodity market; benchmark; hedging; speculation; trader.
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UDC 330.354 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-13-17
SOME FEATURES OF THE "RUSSIAN MODEL OF THE RESOURCE CURSE" (p. 13)
Vitaly Vladimirovich Morozov, Cand. of economic sci., associate professor of the Department of Economic Theory, Faculty of International Energy Business
National University of Oil and Gas "Gubkin University" 65, bld. 1, Leninsky prosp., Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation, e-mail: Morozoff.vv@rambler.ru
The topic of the "resource curse" has been undeservedly pushed into the background in Russian economic science, although at one time it did not receive a clear explanation, the main questions remained open. At the same time, the country's economic development slowed down, the technology sector degraded, and the fuel and energy sector stopped providing the country with the previous energy transfer. In this paper, the author verifies the problem of the "resource curse" on the example of the Russian economic model and also reveals the Russian features of this phenomenon, the main of which is the long-term devaluation of the national currency against the background of the growth of the fuel and energy complex and the service sector. The author proposes a modernized model of the "resource curse", which substantiates the economic facts theoretically noted in Russia.
Keywords: resource curse; Dutch disease; macroeconomics; economic growth; growth factors; economic model; economics; globalization; energy; oil; gas; world trade; world economy model.
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UDC 338.28 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-18-21
TOPICAL ISSUES OF
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
Lalita Musaevna Idigova1, 2, Dr. of economic sci., Professor, Bella Hasanovna Rakhimova2, junior researcher, Laboratory of Economic Research
1 The Chechen State University 32, A. Sheripov str., Grozny, 364051, the Chechen Republic, Russian Federation, e-mail: L.idigova@mail.ru
2 Ibragimov Comprehensive Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences 21a, Staropromyslovskoye shosse, Grozny, 364051, the Chechen Republic, Russian Federation, e-mail: ya210412@yandex.ru
The aim of the study is to consider the issues of digital transformation of the oil and gas industry. The paper is devoted to the consideration of topical issues of digital transformation of the oil and gas industry. It is noted that in modern conditions, the digital transformation of traditional industries opens up new opportunities for the development of domestic enterprises with an increase in the volume of big data processing and storage. The authors of the paper give a definition to such concepts as "digitalization" and "digital transformation of the oil and gas industry". The authors emphasize that in order to solve the problems facing the oil and gas industry, it is necessary to use digital technologies such as-pre-active analytics system, augmented and virtual reality technologies, 3D printing to create tools, Big Data analysis to assess risks that can automate production processes and reduce the cost of oil and gas along the entire value chain. The authors conclude that the digital transformation of the oil and gas industry is a strategic direction for the country's development and is a tool for increasing competitiveness in the global market.
Keywords: digital transformation; digitalization of the oil and gas industry; digital technologies; AR/VR augmented and virtual reality technologies; predictive analytics for renovations; digitalization of a field.
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UDC 658.3:550.8 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-22-27
SOME PROBLEMS THAT
CAN ARISE WHEN LAUNCHING
Alexey Vasilievich Beloshitsky, Cand. of economic sci.
JSC "Bashneftegeofizika" 13, Lenin str., Ufa, 450077, Republic of Bashkortostan, Russian Federation, e-mail: bel@bngf.ru
Shamil Gilemshinovich Garaishin, Cand. of tech. sci., Head of the Department of Geophysics
Ufa State Petroleum Technical University (USPTU) 1, Kosmonavtov str., Ufa, 450064, Republic of Bashkortostan, Russian Federation, e-mail: gsg373@mail.ru
The paper offers a discussion about necessity of launching a corporate training center for different oil-field service companies. The advantages of the center organization as a separate training institution within a holding company or under co-possession and co-use conditions are revealed. Clue differences between the labor safety education programs and the professional training lessons as well as career development are considered. Preference attention is paid to professional skill development programs, new-comer adaptation into the enterprise and career development. The typical organization structure of functional tasks of the training center together with its place within an oil-field servicing company and real business cooperation are offered. Some specific things of cooperation between the training center and the business structures during the first period of the training center activity are pointed; the algorithm for building and functioning of education process are presented. The importance of the head leaders’ personal participation in order to motivate the personnel is also noted. Special attention is paid to the principles on which the education process is built. They are as follows: business cooperation, possibility of results measuring and assessment of training results, versatility, system, regularity, transparency, profession skills. In conclusion, importance of the corporate professional training in the oil servicing industry as well as its insufficient studying from the scientific point of view is pointed out.
Keywords: professional training center; oil-field servicing industry; labor safety; professional skills; career development; organization structure; business cooperation; training process; motivation.
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UDC 331.103 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-28-31
THE TIMESHEET
APPROACHES TO ORGANIZATIONAL ACCOUNTING
Victor Georgievich Martynov1, rector, Dr. of economic sci, Professor, Corresponding member of RAE, Irina Yurievna Eremina1, Dr. of economic sci., Professor, Head of the Economics Theory Department, Irina Yurievna Chuprova1, Cand. of economic sci., Head of property management, Ekaterina Vladimirovna Korneva1, 2, post-graduate student of the Chair of Economic Theory, Area manager of AO "Rosgeo"
1 National University of Oil and Gas "Gubkin University" 65, bld. 1, Leninsky prosp., Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation, e-mail: irinargung@mail.ru
2 JSC "Rosgeo" 43, bld. 3, Hersonskaya str., Moscow, 117246, Russian Federation
The paper discusses the instruments for accounting and control of personnel working time, as well as rationing of personnel headcount. The timesheet was studied as a source of information about the working time costs of employees, the losses of working time and the effectiveness of the personnel usage. The timesheet is considered not only as an instrument of accurate accounting of working time and employees’ control, but also as a tool for analyzing the complexity of tasks and profitability of projects, as well as a sources of systematized information for rationing and identifying reserves for further optimization. The methods of rationing are considered, the possibilities of their application in current economic conditions are analyzed, taking into account the limitations caused by the remote nature of work, the outdated regulatory framework, the lack of qualified experts in the field of rationing and other reasons. Benchmarking is studied as one of the modern methods of headcount rationing. The approaches to working time accounting and rationing presented in this paper can be used by the companies of various industries to improve their efficiency and competitiveness in the current economic environment.
Keywords: timesheet; working time accounting; labor rationing.
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UDC 331.108.26 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-32-36
SHIFT PERSONNEL
MANAGEMENT BY OIL AND GAS COMPANIES
Vladimir Vasilievich Yelgin, Dr. of economic sci., Professor of Department of Economics and Production Management
Tyumen Industrial University 38, Volodarsky str., Tyumen, 625000, Russian Federation, e-mail: general@tyuiu.ru
Igor Vasilievich Melnikov, Cand. of economic sci., General Director, Alexey Mikhailovich Pereladov, Head of Personnel Resources
LLC "Gazprom dobycha Nadym" 14, Pionerskaya str., Nadym, 629730, Russian Federation, e-mail: manager@nadym-dobycha.gazprom.ru
Sergey Vladimirovich Shlyakhtin, Deputy-Head of the Department of 715
PJSC "Gazprom" 2, bld. B, Vnukovskaya str., St. Petersburg, 116210, Russian Federation, e-mail: sergey.shl@gmail.com
The paper analyzes the specifics of using the shift method of labor organization by oil and gas companies in the Far North conditions. Along with its obvious advantages in comparison with traditional forms of labor activity, such as more effective interregional mobile use of labor contingents and specialists of the required qualifications, the ability to attract specialists from labor-surplus regions, and the economic benefit of companies by reducing the cost of all types of resources, there are also disadvantages. At the same time, specialists who study biological and medical problems in the Far North note the negative aspects of the shift-expedition method that affect human health. Based on the conducted surveys among shift workers, the problems of the shift method, satisfaction with working and rest conditions and the state of the moral and psychological state were identified. Based on the results of the study of the conditions of employees shift labor organization, measures to improve this method are proposed, and tools that allow influencing the psycho-economic characteristics of the shift team are developed.
Keywords: the Arctic zone; oil and gas companies; shift method of labor organization; medical and biological problems of shift personnel; assessment of working conditions and rest of shift personnel.
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UDC 65.011.12 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-37-45
CLASSIFICATION OF
ENGINEERING COMPANIES
Marat Radikovich Usmanov, Cand. of tech. sci., General Director, Maksim Vladimirovich Grosul, Head of Efficiency Improvement Department, Andrey Vyacheslavovich Firsov, Head of the Center for Implementation of the Methodology for Improving the Operational Efficiency of Efficiency Improvement Department
LLC "LUKOIL-Nizhegorodniinefteproyect" 147A, Maxim Gorky str., Nizhny Novgorod, 603950, Russian Federation, e-mail: Marat.Usmanov@lukoil.com, Maksim.Grosul@lukoil.com, Andrey.V.Firsov@lukoil.com
Kirill Vladimirovich Maltsev, Doctor of economic sci., Professor, Deputy Director
LLC "Regional Analytics and Information" 20B, room 4, Zvezdinka str., Nizhny Novgorod, 603000, Russian Federation, e-mail: malcev_kv@mail.ru
Dmitriy Evgenyevich Ershov, Cand. of economic sci., Director of BigData and SMART algorithms
LLC "Ruspberry RU" 2, office 3, Obozny per., Nizhny Novgorod, 603000, Russian Federation, e-mail: erschow@mail.ru
The paper considers the term of engineering, classification of engineering, engineering services, engineering companies. The authors have proposed to use an eight-phase functional diagram of engineering by stages of the project life cycle to classify engineering companies per the structure and content of their activities. In particular, an example of classification of nine engineering companies providing services in the oil and gas industry is given, based on the analysis of the structure and scope of their activities. In the opinion of the authors, this approach to classification of engineering companies makes it possible to classify more clearly engineering companies in conditions of uncertainty and development of the pure notion of "engineering". This approach to classification may be used both for theoretical and practical purposes to study development of engineering services market, for benchmarking, comparative analysis of companies, and determination of the development strategy.
Keywords: engineering; engineering services; engineering market; oil and gas industry; engineering companies; engineering classification.
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UDC 658.3:550.8 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-46-55
GRAPHIC-ANALYTICAL
MODEL OF CONTROL AND ANALYSIS
Pavel Dmitrievich Skoropada, post-graduate student, St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, named after Peter the Great, chief specialist
LLC "Neftegazkomplektmontazh" 9, bld. 1, Letter A, Varshavskaya str., St. Petersburg, 196128, Russian Federation, e-mail: pavelskoropada@gmail.com
The paper considers the key aspects of the economic plan-of fact analysis of the investment program of an oil and gas production enterprise using digital transformation methods. The main approaches to the application of the graphic-analytical model of the system for monitoring the implementation of the investment program for capital construction and reconstruction are proposed, using the example of LLC "LUKOIL-Western Siberia". Examples of methods applied for calculating changes in labor productivity factors and the absolute construction period are considered. On the example of a linear object, the calculation of the planned construction volumes of the investment program within the framework of the year is considered. An example of the analysis of technical and economic indicators of the implementation of the investment program plan is given. The practical need for subsequent, current and future analytical developments is determined by the level of an enterprise economies development. The study of internal and external factors is one of the prerequisites for ensuring financial results. In the course of the study, the obtained results of calculating the graphical analytical model make it possible to organize an information database for developing long-term plans and choosing the most optimal management decisions.
Keywords: planned indicators; investment program; digitalization; economic analysis; AIP (adjustment of the investment program); construction period; graphic-analytical model; capital construction and reconstruction; labor productivity.
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UDC 622.323:324.5 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-56-61
WHAT WILL THE FUTURE
HOLD FOR RUSSIAN OIL PRODUCERS
Alexey Sergeevich Dmitriev, economist
Territorial authority of the Federal state statistics service in the Volgograd region 1, Volodarsky str., Volgograd, 400066, Russian Federation, e-mail: basement.dmitriev@gmail.com
Alina Sergeevna Knippel, master's student of Faculty of Economics and Management
Volgograd state technical university 28, Lenin prosp., Volgograd, 400005, Russian Federation, e-mail: knippel_a@mail.ru
The paper deals with the dynamics of Russian crude oil exports volumes, based on which the peculiarities of the functioning of the oil and gas sector of the domestic economy are highlighted. The paper identifies a number of quantitative and qualitative transformations in the structure of commodity exports in recent years. Based on the data obtained during the study, the prospects for the development of foreign trade relations in this field of activity are evaluated and priority trends in oil and gas companies activity are identified. The methodology includes structural, statistical, system, logical, and other types of analysis, as well as synthesis.
Keywords: export; budget revenues; oil and gas sector of the economy; crude oil; world economy; international markets; economic crisis; foreign trade.
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UDC 339.9 DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2021-1(193)-62-68
THE STRUCTURE OF RELATIONS
IN THE OIL AND GAS ALLIANCES
Galina Vladimirovna Devlikamova, Cand. of economic sci., associate professor of the Department "Economics of Oil and Gas Industry"
Ufa State Petroleum Technical University 1, Kosmonavtov str., Ufa, 450062, Republic of Bashkortostan, Russian Federation, e-mail: devlikamova.g@mail.ru
The purpose of the research is analysis and characteristic of "portfolio of interrelations" of petroleum company "Rosneft". The research is very urgent because Russia implements many international oil-and-gas projects. The object of research is petroleum company "Rosneft". The subject of the research is international "portfolio of interrelations" of JSC "Rosneft". International interrelations of JSC "Rosneft" are extensive and diverse. In particular, JSC "Rosneft" cooperates with Venezuelan state petroleum company PdVS.A. The regularities of formation and development of "portfolio of interrelations" were studied. The international strategy of JSC "Rosneft" is "forestalling" and "adapting". The "portfolio of interrelations" model brings into concord different streams. A branch’s feature of the "upstream" sector in contrast to "downstream" one is using all of forms of alliances. Petroleum alliances make "triangles of countries" and "triangles of interrelations" in global networks of making cost. They form polygonal model of "portfolio of interrelations" and "flatness of interrelations" between countries and alliances. The paper characterizes the structure of “portfolio of interrelations”, determines the criteria of assessment of efficiency and quality of international relations and factors of influences on the quality and potential of interrelations.
Keywords: vertically integrated petroleum companies (VIPC); international strategic alliance (ISA); portfolio of international interrelations; model of "portfolio of interrelations"; triangle of interrelations; flatness of interrelations; polygonal model of "portfolio of interrelations"; criterions of estimation of interrelation’s effectiveness and quality; potential of interrelations.
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NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF OIL AND GAS "GUBKIN UNIVERSITY" |